Stack of chances here in a very tough maiden. Lightly raced Grafton four-year-old 4. Rock Odyssey has had two runs back from a spell. Struggled in the heavy at Lismore last start but much better served back on firm ground where he can box seat right behind the speed at big odds.
Dangers: Local filly 11. Lasting Kiss held her ground OK on debut here and can make enough improvement to be in the finish. Nicely bred 6. Dubai Eagle missed by a whisker second-up here in soft ground. The wide draw has done resuming filly 9. La Roca no favours but trainer has made gear changes and she did go close on debut on a firm track. Another three-year-old 5. Arewerichenuff has trialled well ahead of his return but also drawn off the course. 12. Let Us Loose can also improve sharply back on firm ground at her second start.
How to play it: Rock Odyssey each way and box first four 4,5,6,9,11,12; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 3 MAIDEN HCP (1300m)
Doesn’t get much easier here, although home track three-year-old filly 8. Vitae can strike at third start. Was well backed last start when showing sharp improvement hitting the line from midfield and the extra 100m is only a plus carrying the same weight.
Dangers: Sunshine Coast three-year-old 1. Jett Austin has gone down narrowly in his last couple, and despite creeping up in the weights is primed for this longer journey. Big market watch on debutant Qld three-year-old 2. Twelve Apostles who has been brought along gradually at the trials and drawn to get a soft run. Coffs three-year-old 7. Full Press resumes with no public trials but was competitive in better maidens last prep and also drawn to get a cosy run. Keep safe stablemate to top selection 12. Missy Em who ran according to her market drift on debut but fitter now and draws well.
How to play it: Vitae to win; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 4 CLASS 1 HCP (1000m)
Back to the short course, and promising Coffs three-year-old 3. Parksville can win again despite a very tricky draw. After a solid metro debut over the border, treated his rivals with contempt, winning by four lengths and still under a hold. Obviously more depth here, but he only needs to slot in with some cover to be hard to beat.
Dangers: Eagle Farm colt 5. Azzareach is the immediate threat after a rock solid first-up run in metro company. Up in weight and drawn further out but has good tactical speed. Keep safe 2. My Cousin James who resumes on his home track from the inside gate. Bolted in on debut here in winter, but this is his first time on a firm surface.
How to play it: Parksville to win and quinella 3 and 5; Odds and Evens: Odds
Race 5 BM 66 HCP (1900m)
Good competitive race for this grade with plenty of hopes. Progressive three-year-old 9. Beckford stretches out to this trip at the right time after finishing best to win his last two. Well in at the weights despite a slight rise in grade and can get home hard off a decent tempo.
Dangers: Gold Coast mare 2. Predictable Miss has won two of her last three and certainly fit enough for the step out to this journey. Swept home to beat a good CL2 field at Coffs three runs back before taking care of a weaker field at Kilcoy. Not totally convinced the inside draw is her go, but she’ll get a lovely trail and just needs clear air from the 400m. Include five-year-old 8. Saintly Sunrise who drops in weight fourth-up. Much-improved 6. Wamwarra Bay has never raced better winning his last two up to this level but taking on some smarter ones here and drawn off the track. 3. Bullet Shot suited back on firm ground and 5. Prince Of Arran can be included in wider exotics.
How to play it: Beckford to win; quinella 2 and 9; and box trifecta 2,6,8,9; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 6 CLASS 2 HCP (1400m)
Those around the top of the weights can fight this out. Progressive Toowoomba four-year-old 2. Avowal is right at his peak fifth run in for a stable who regularly strikes when it crosses the border. Bolted in a CL1 at the Sunny Coast three runs back, and was close-up in a recent metro CL2 when very well supported.
Dangers: Tough Coffs 4YO 1. Baileys was very good leading first-up in a deeper race at Tuncurry, and carries weight well, although is nearly six weeks between runs, while four-year-old stablemate 3. Alcides is shooting for three straight in a tougher race but drops 4kg after the rider’s full claim. Lightly raced Murwillumbah mare 5. Triple The Fun is also a strong chance fourth-up off a close second at Ipswich and especially getting back on top of the ground. Watch the betting on promising three-year-old 10. Beauty Canto who charged home first-up to thrash Hogan’s Dare who goes around as a leading chance in Race 1 and blinkers have been removed.
How to play it: Avowal to win and box trifecta 1,2,3,5; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 7 2021 BALLINA CUP (1519m)
Feature race of the day is typically a wide open battle. Like the value about 5YO gelding 9. Wild Moon who has won two of his last four. Tracked the speed and let down for a dominant BM 65 win at Ipswich, and carries 3.5kg less here.
Dangers: Gold Coast four-year-old 2. Sea Raider comes in with superior Eagle Farm form having finished best to claim a CL5 before brave under 60kg in a tougher BM 75. Hard fit for the trip, and only has to reproduce those runs but wide draw on a tighter track is a query. Lightly raced seven-year-old 4. Penshurst got under the market’s guard sweeping home to win a BM 80 resuming, but second-up form is not as sharp. Include Gold Coast mare 10. Ivy’s Dream who is hard fit and four of her six career wins have come at this track. 8. Lord Heron fought on OK after leading in a Highway and has been kept fresher. 12. Malawi Gold gets an economical run from the draw fourth-up.
How to play it: Wild Moon each way; Odds and Evens: Split
Race 8 BM 66 HCP (1000m)
Keen at the big value on Victorian mare 1. Beautiful Bee who just missed first run this district after travelling up off a solid Moonee Valley campaign against tougher opposition. Claim helps offset the big weight and draws to park just off the speed and pounce over the final furlong.
Dangers: Qld four-year-old 3. Kaoru King has won his last two and keeps improving, although shoots back up in weight. Local four-year-old 4. Jet A One led all the way here last start in similar grade but up in weight and drawn off the track.
How to play it: Beautiful Bee each wayOdds and Evens: Odds
Race 1: 9. KOONUNGA HILL
Race 6: 2. AVOWAL
Race 3: 8. VITAE
Tips supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au
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